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Data
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HOLYOKE GRAVITY MODEL |
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"30 miles" Trade Area |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
| 1 |
Population |
1,074,770 |
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| 2 |
Group quarters |
47333 |
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| 3 |
Population in households |
1,027,437 |
1,050,575.3202 |
1,073,592.9263 |
1,130,552.64 |
1,188,222.56 |
| 4 |
Households(+1%/year) |
392662 |
412692.06 |
433743.5027 |
455868 |
479122 |
| 5 |
Ave. Hhld. size (-.56%/yr) |
2.61659 |
2.545664 |
2.47517927 |
2.48 |
2.48 |
| 6 |
Ave. income/Hhld.(+4%/yr) |
40260 |
49453.95 |
63117.16458 |
72506 |
88215 |
| 7 |
Aggregate income $(000) |
15,808,572.12 |
20,409,252.5006 |
27,376,660.0417 |
33,053,165.208 |
42,265,747.23 |
| 8 |
GAFO % of income(-1%/yr) |
13 |
12.3651 |
11.75908707 |
11.12 |
10.65 |
| 9 |
Potential GAFO exp.$(000) |
2,055,114.3756 |
2,523,624.481 |
3,219,245.2901 |
3,675,511.9711 |
4,501,302.08 |
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Stores of Holyoke |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
| 10 |
Stores of HH: size (s.f.) |
90000 |
200000 |
200000 |
200000 |
200000 |
| 11 |
Travel time (minutes) |
20 |
20 |
20 |
20 |
20 |
| 12 |
SOHH Factor |
225 |
500 |
500 |
500 |
500 |
| 13 |
Capture rate = 15/[15+24+31] |
0.006054781682 |
0.01273295692 |
0.01221906845 |
0.01262686049 |
0.01252218775 |
| 14 |
SALES Stores of HH$(000) |
12443.26888 |
32133.2018 |
39336.17856 |
46410.17689 |
56366.14977 |
| 15 |
Plus Attractions inflow |
1 |
1.05 |
1.1 |
1.15 |
1.2 |
| 16 |
TOTAL SALES $(000) |
12443.26888 |
33739.86189 |
43269.79642 |
53371.70342 |
67639.37973 |
| 17 |
Sales/s.f. |
138.2585431 |
168.6993094 |
216.3489821 |
266.8585171 |
338.1968986 |
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Holyoke Mall |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
| 18 |
Holyoke Mall: size (s.f.) |
1,000,000 |
1,300,000 |
1,300,000 |
1,300,000 |
1,300,000 |
| 19 |
Travel time (minutes) |
16 |
16 |
16 |
16 |
16 |
| 20 |
HM Factor |
3906.25 |
5078.125 |
5078.125 |
5078.125 |
5078.125 |
| 21 |
SALES $(000) |
270000 |
391623.3969 |
479409.6763 |
589191.6987 |
715585.8858 |
| 22 |
80% from Trade Area $(000) |
216000 |
326352.8307 |
399508.0635 |
471353.359 |
572468.7086 |
| 23 |
Capture rate % |
0.1051036393 |
0.1293190937 |
0.124099914 |
0.1282415518 |
0.1271784694 |
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AllOther Retail Stores |
1990 |
1995 |
2000 |
2005 |
2010 |
| 24 |
AllOtherStores: size (s.f.) |
10,000,000 |
10,100,000 |
10,200,000 |
10,300,000 |
10,400,000 |
| 25 |
Travel time (minutes) |
17.4 |
17.4 |
17.4 |
17.4 |
17.4 |
| 26 |
AOS Factor |
33029.46228 |
33690.05153 |
35341.52464 |
34020 |
34351 |
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MELVIN F. LEVINE, aicp Π1 CHISWICK TERRACE ΠBOSTON, MA 02135-4611 |
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